BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 43 Conference: (12-2) Overall: (18-5) Overall Strength = 79.98
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2008 Away W 92.90 75 70 4A 42 ( 5-18) Mason City 12.92 -7.92
2 12/05/2008 Away L 75.83 40 43 3A 47 ( 8-14) Estherville LC -4.16 1.16
3 12/06/2008 Home L 56.36 44 70 3A 32 (15- 7) Webster City -23.62 -2.38
4 12/12/2008 Away W * 81.85 63 47 2A 93 ( 7-13) Belmond-Klemme 1.87 14.13
5 12/15/2008 Home W * 83.07 64 52 2A 65 (13-10) Lake Mills 3.09 8.91 was 12/09 now 12/15
6 01/05/2009 Away W * 79.79 55 41 2A 97 ( 3-18) Osage -0.19 14.19 was 12/19 now 01/05
7 01/06/2009 Home W * 92.84 40 34 2A 18 (21- 4) Garner-Hayfield 12.86 -6.86
8 01/09/2009 Away W * 80.27 71 56 1A 60 ( 8-13) Mason City Newman 0.29 14.71
9 01/10/2009 Away W 78.05 66 49 3A 63 ( 2-20) Clear Lake -1.93 18.93
10 01/16/2009 Home W * 73.75 65 61 2A 70 (13- 9) Britt West Hancock -6.24 10.24
11 01/17/2009 Home W 94.02 58 48 3A 27 (15- 7) Charles City 14.03 -4.03
12 01/19/2009 Home W * 87.95 79 53 1A 64 ( 9-14) North Iowa 7.97 18.03 was 12/16 now 01/19
13 01/20/2009 Away L * 67.16 66 73 2A 65 (13-10) Lake Mills -12.82 5.82
14 01/24/2009 Home W 86.89 63 53 3A 48 (11-11) Algona 6.90 3.10
15 01/27/2009 Away W * 77.04 62 50 1A 64 ( 9-14) North Iowa -2.95 14.95
16 01/30/2009 Home W * 86.70 64 40 2A 97 ( 3-18) Osage 6.72 17.28
17 02/03/2009 Away L * 72.93 45 62 2A 18 (21- 4) Garner-Hayfield -7.05 -9.95
18 02/05/2009 Home W * 69.76 70 63 2A 93 ( 7-13) Belmond-Klemme -10.22 17.22 was 01/23 now 02/05
19 02/06/2009 Home W * 77.19 67 52 1A 60 ( 8-13) Mason City Newman -2.80 17.80
20 02/13/2009 Away W * 83.83 70 59 2A 70 (13- 9) Britt West Hancock 3.85 7.15
21 02/23/2009 Home W 78.96 69 48 3A 63 ( 2-20) Clear Lake -1.02 22.02
22 02/27/2009 Neutral W 99.56 56 42 3A 27 (15- 7) Charles City 19.58 -5.58
23 03/02/2009 Neutral L 62.91 41 65 3A 26 (17- 7) New Hampton -17.07 -6.93
Averages 79.98 60.6 53.5
Best game: 99.56 = 14 point win over Charles City
Worst game: 56.36 = 26 point loss to Webster City
Team stdev: 10.32